Quote Ticker
  • CORN (Dec 14) 370'4 -0'4 11/21/14   1:42 PM CST
  • CORN (Mar 15) 383'4 -1'0 11/21/14   1:42 PM CST
  • CORN (May 15) 392'4 -0'6 11/21/14   1:42 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jan 15) 1038'0 18'4 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Mar 15) 1045'2 18'0 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (May 15) 1051'2 17'6 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Dec 14) 546'2 0'0 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Mar 15) 552'6 1'0 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (May 15) 560'0 1'2 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (Dec 14) 3779 76 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (Jan 15) 3667 79 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (Mar 15) 3546 76 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (Dec 14) 32.72 0.02 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (Jan 15) 32.83 0.02 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (Mar 15) 33.04 0.01 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • OATS (Dec 14) 346'4 1'0 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • OATS (Mar 15) 340'4 -2'2 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • OATS (May 15) 327'2 -2'0 11/21/14   1:30 PM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Dec 14) 90.650 -0.125 11/21/14   1:10 PM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Feb 15) 90.450 -0.450 11/21/14   1:10 PM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Apr 15) 92.950 0.200 11/21/14   1:10 PM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Dec 14) 170.900 0.650 11/21/14   1:10 PM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Feb 15) 172.150 0.325 11/21/14   1:10 PM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Apr 15) 170.400 0.125 11/21/14   1:10 PM CST
  • ETHANOL (Dec 14) 2.090 0.112 11/21/14   2:39 PM CST
  • ETHANOL (Jan 15) 1.850 0.090 11/21/14   2:05 PM CST
  • ETHANOL (Feb 15) 1.760 0.081 11/21/14   2:04 PM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Nov 14) 21.90 -0.02 11/21/14   1:26 PM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Dec 14) 18.91 0.23 11/21/14   1:54 PM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Jan 15) 17.46 0.11 11/21/14   1:46 PM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Dec 14) 126'22.0 0'04.0 11/21/14   3:59 PM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Mar 15) 125'31.5 0'04.0 11/21/14   3:59 PM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Jun 15) 124'31.5 0'04.0 11/21/14   2:00 PM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Dec 14) 2061.70 9.70 11/21/14   3:25 PM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Mar 15) 2057.00 9.60 11/21/14   3:25 PM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Jun 15) 1860.40 9.60 11/21/14   3:25 PM CST
  • DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (Dec 14) 17778.00 86.00 11/21/14   3:16 PM CST
  • DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (Mar 15) 17545.00 85.00 11/21/14   3:16 PM CST
  • DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (Jun 15) 17624.00 85.00 11/21/14   3:16 PM CST


Local Cash Bids
North Central PAMill Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Winter Wheat Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
Western PA Farm Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
  Chart Feb 28, 15    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Nov 30, 14    
South Central PA Mil Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
  Chart Feb 28, 15    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Nov 30, 14    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
  Chart Feb 28, 15    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
Eastern OH Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
  Chart Feb 28, 15    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Nov 30, 14    
Fob New Jersey Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
  Chart Feb 28, 15    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
  Chart Feb 28, 15    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Nov 30, 14    
  Chart Dec 31, 14    
  Chart Jan 31, 15    
  Chart Feb 28, 15    
  Chart Mar 31, 15    
Price as of 11/23/14 03:51PM CST.
Click to view more Cash Bid Trading System

CHART OF THE DAY

November 19th, 2014

** USDA surprisingly down-ticked US yields to 173.4 – still a record 14.4 bil crop. Next update in Jan.
** Corn harvest entering final stretch – 80% complete a/o Monday.
** World corn carryout seen expanding this year to a multi-year high.
** South American planting nearing half-way complete. Small net corn acreage reductions expected.
** Ethanol margins improving and profitable. Livestock great. Export competitiveness struggling.
** Spec funds net long in corn growing, both outright and likely against other ag shorts (esp. wheat).


Overnight markets were modestly lower on fairly heavy volume, though the focus appeared to be more
on spreads than flat price.  Out of 43,000 Dec Corn, 22,600 of that was in Z/H, which weakened a notch
to a three week low.  First Notice Day is sneaking up on us quickly – just six trading days away.  There
was  a  decent  amount  of  export  news  around  –  South  Korea  tendered  for  three  cargos  of  corn  and
bought two – one at $212/mt CIF for Feb/Mar & the other at $224/mt CIF for Mar.  The first was likely
Black  Sea  origin  –  the  second  maybe  was  too,  as  US  offers  for  that  timeframe  are  generally  about
$10/mt  above  that  level?    Analysts  estimate  Ukraine  will  have  18  mmt  of  corn  for  export,  a  decent
chunk of which will likely trade into world markets instead of the EU, especially given the record French
harvest.  Ukraine has exported less than half of the 18 mmt estimate to date.  Philippines are around for
feed wheat, and Israel for other feedstuffs.  US export sales to date remain 15% behind average, and
most  of  the  sales  on  the  books  are  to  “neighbor”  destinations  (such  as  Mexico).    In  fact,  there  are
reports of a few cargos of EU/UK feed wheat heading to the US Southeast, though this is not expected to
become a frequent occurrence.

Price  count  objectives  at  $3.88  held  last  week’s  rally  in  check,  and  we  are  now  seeing  a  modest
correction.  At the end of the day, the rally we saw was likely a great chance to hedge for producers.
Sell Jan Calls to catch up?  The “easy” downside push has likely been captured; we are near initial
support, which extends from here to $3.60.  Those with shorts should use this correction to limit risk
to some degree – a trade above the $3.88 high would activate the next set of counts to $4.20.


No  “Turnaround  Tuesday”  for  the  corn  market,  as we  started  lower  and  stayed  that  way,  ultimately
finishing 5 cents lower on a quiet news day.  Funds were sellers of 6,000 corn on the day.  Who’s NOT
selling is the interior corn processor, with basis bids there generally continuing to firm on an aggregate
basis.  Areas that got harvest done early appear to be cooling off some as the post-harvest basis rally
loses  steam?    Domestic  demand  remains  the  chief  feel  good  fundamental  story  in  the  corn  market;
ethanol margins are $2 plus per bushel in the spot, even when including fixed costs, but it remains a
struggle to book anything like that forward (75 cents/bu at best for J-F-M).  Livestock margins are good,
and  weights  are  trending heavy  to maximize the  dual  influences of  high  animal  prices  and  low  grain
prices.  Looking briefly down south, parts of South Brazil & Argentina are generally trending dry, but
have decent rain prospects for the coming two weeks, and farmers will be looking for that rain to speed
up  already-delayed  planting.
In  the  option  pits,  vol  was  a  little  softer  as  the  on-going  correction
removed some fear of the upside.  The Jan in particular got hit with some straddle/strangle selling.  On
the horizon, weekly EIA ethanol stats are due out this morning – production is expected to inch another
notch higher.  Cattle on Feed is due out Friday.
 


Local Conditions
Mifflintown, PA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 54oF Feels Like: 54oF
Humid: 34% Dew Pt: 26oF
Barom: 30.05 Wind Dir: N
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 0 mph
Sunrise: 7:03 Sunset: 4:43
As reported at SELINSGROVE, PA at 4:00 PM
 
Local Radar
Mifflintown, PA
Radar
 
Local Forecast
Mifflintown, PA

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High: 58°F
Low: 32°F
Precip: 32%
High: 67°F
Low: 43°F
Precip: 80%
High: 49°F
Low: 35°F
Precip: 0%
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Low: 29°F
Precip: 40%
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Low: 29°F
Precip: 0%
View complete Local Weather

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Video Clips

Futures
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 372'6 381'4 369'6 370'4 -0'4 372'6s 02:00P Chart for @C4Z Options for @C4Z
Mar 15 385'2 394'2 382'6 383'4 -1'0 385'2s 02:00P Chart for @C5H Options for @C5H
May 15 394'0 403'0 391'4 392'4 -0'6 394'2s 02:00P Chart for @C5K Options for @C5K
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jan 15 1020'4 1040'0 1013'4 1038'0 18'4 1039'0s 02:00P Chart for @S5F Options for @S5F
Mar 15 1028'0 1047'2 1021'0 1045'2 18'0 1046'0s 02:00P Chart for @S5H Options for @S5H
May 15 1034'4 1053'0 1028'0 1051'2 17'6 1052'2s 02:00P Chart for @S5K Options for @S5K
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 547'0 553'6 540'6 546'2 0'0 547'2s 02:00P Chart for @W4Z Options for @W4Z
Mar 15 552'4 560'0 547'4 552'6 1'0 553'4s 02:00P Chart for @W5H Options for @W5H
May 15 558'0 566'2 554'2 560'0 1'2 560'4s 02:00P Chart for @W5K Options for @W5K
@SM - SOYBEAN MEAL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 3714 3798 3662 3779 76 3784s 02:00P Chart for @SM4Z Options for @SM4Z
Jan 15 3597 3680 3562 3667 79 3672s 02:00P Chart for @SM5F Options for @SM5F
Mar 15 3473 3555 3449 3546 76 3549s 02:00P Chart for @SM5H Options for @SM5H
@BO - SOYBEAN OIL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 32.67 33.36 32.51 32.72 0.02 32.69s 02:00P Chart for @BO4Z Options for @BO4Z
Jan 15 32.77 33.50 32.62 32.83 0.02 32.80s 02:00P Chart for @BO5F Options for @BO5F
Mar 15 32.96 33.69 32.83 33.04 0.01 33.00s 02:00P Chart for @BO5H Options for @BO5H
O - OATS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 346'4 1'0 326'6s 11/21 Chart for O4Z Options for O4Z
Mar 15 340'4 -2'2 326'0s 11/21 Chart for O5H Options for O5H
May 15 327'2 -2'0 327'2s 11/21 Chart for O5K Options for O5K
LH - LEAN HOGS - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 90.100 90.850 90.100 90.650 -0.125 90.650s 11/21 Chart for LH4Z Options for LH4Z
Feb 15 90.700 90.750 90.300 90.450 -0.450 90.450s 11/21 Chart for LH5G Options for LH5G
Apr 15 92.300 93.100 92.300 92.950 0.200 92.950s 11/21 Chart for LH5J Options for LH5J
LC - LIVE CATTLE - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 170.500 170.950 169.975 170.900 0.650 170.900s 11/21 Chart for LC4Z Options for LC4Z
Feb 15 171.700 172.500 171.425 172.150 0.325 172.150s 11/21 Chart for LC5G Options for LC5G
Apr 15 170.400 171.000 170.250 170.400 0.125 170.425s 11/21 Chart for LC5J Options for LC5J
@AC - ETHANOL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 2.010 2.090 1.998 2.090 0.112 2.060s 02:00P Chart for @AC4Z Options for @AC4Z
Jan 15 1.791 1.850 1.791 1.850 0.090 1.837s 11/21 Chart for @AC5F Options for @AC5F
Feb 15 1.719 1.760 1.719 1.760 0.081 1.760s 02:00P Chart for @AC5G Options for @AC5G
@DA - MILK CLASS III - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Nov 14 21.92 21.94 21.86 21.90 -0.02 21.90s 02:00P Chart for @DA4X Options for @DA4X
Dec 14 18.65 19.00 18.52 18.91 0.23 18.92s 02:00P Chart for @DA4Z Options for @DA4Z
Jan 15 17.35 17.46 17.24 17.46 0.11 17.35s 02:00P Chart for @DA5F Options for @DA5F
@TY - 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 126'16.5 126'23.0 126'11.5 126'22.0 0'04.0 126'22.0s 02:00P Chart for @TY4Z Options for @TY4Z
Mar 15 125'26.0 126'00.5 125'21.5 125'31.5 0'04.0 125'31.5s 02:00P Chart for @TY5H Options for @TY5H
Jun 15 124'31.5 0'04.0 124'31.5s 11/21 Chart for @TY5M Options for @TY5M
@ZG - Not Authorized - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Nov 14 Chart for @ZG4X Options for @ZG4X
Dec 14 Chart for @ZG4Z Options for @ZG4Z
Jan 15 Chart for @ZG5F Options for @ZG5F
SP - S&P 500 INDEX - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 2071.20 2072.50 2055.00 2061.70 9.70 2061.80s 11/21 Chart for SP4Z Options for SP4Z
Mar 15 2065.00 2065.00 2052.00 2057.00 9.60 2054.60s 11/21 Chart for SP5H Options for SP5H
Jun 15 2046.00 2046.00 1860.40 9.60 2047.30s 11/21 Chart for SP5M Options for SP5M
DJ - DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Dec 14 17838.00 17838.00 17745.00 17778.00 86.00 17780.00s 11/21 Chart for DJ4Z Options for DJ4Z
Mar 15 17545.00 85.00 17710.00s 11/21 Chart for DJ5H Options for DJ5H
Jun 15 17624.00 85.00 17624.00s 11/21 Chart for DJ5M Options for DJ5M
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

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prices for all of your fertilizer needs. We have very
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DAP, AMS, and Potash.  We also offer custom
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(877) 343-4278 or email us @
jon@keystonecommodities.com
 

Disclaimer
An investment in futures contracts involves a high degree of risk and is suitable only for persons who can assume the risk of loss in excess of their margin deposits.  You should carefully consider whether futures trading is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience, trading objectives, financial resources, and other relevant circumstances. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
 

 
 
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