Quote Ticker
  • CORN (May 15) 379'6 3'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • CORN (Jul 15) 386'2 3'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • CORN (Sep 15) 393'6 3'2 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (May 15) 967'6 2'6 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Jul 15) 970'2 2'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEANS (Aug 15) 967'2 1'0 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (May 15) 493'2 0'0 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Jul 15) 488'0 -1'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • WHEAT (Sep 15) 496'2 -1'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (May 15) 3147 26 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (Jul 15) 3143 25 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN MEAL (Aug 15) 3128 20 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (May 15) 31.47 -0.24 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (Jul 15) 31.67 -0.24 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • SOYBEAN OIL (Aug 15) 31.70 -0.24 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • OATS (May 15) 262'0 4'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • OATS (Jul 15) 263'4 5'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • OATS (Sep 15) 275'0 5'4 4/17/15   1:30 PM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (May 15) 69.250 -0.500 4/17/15   1:19 PM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Jun 15) 76.300 -0.100 4/17/15   1:19 PM CST
  • LEAN HOGS (Jul 15) 77.500 -0.325 4/17/15   1:19 PM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Apr 15) 157.800 - 3.000 4/17/15   1:19 PM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Jun 15) 149.000 - 3.000 4/17/15   1:19 PM CST
  • LIVE CATTLE (Aug 15) 149.750 - 3.000 4/17/15   1:19 PM CST
  • ETHANOL (May 15) 1.610 0.025 4/17/15   2:41 PM CST
  • ETHANOL (Jun 15) 1.585 0.025 4/17/15   2:41 PM CST
  • ETHANOL (Jul 15) 1.559 0.019 4/17/15   1:23 PM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Apr 15) 15.81 0.03 4/17/15   1:46 PM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (May 15) 16.05 0.10 4/17/15   1:33 PM CST
  • MILK CLASS III (Jun 15) 16.00 0.21 4/17/15   1:54 PM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Jun 15) 129'20.5 0'04.0 4/17/15   3:59 PM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Sep 15) 129'10.0 0'04.5 4/17/15   3:13 PM CST
  • 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE (Dec 15) 127'28.0 0'04.5 4/17/15   2:01 PM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Jun 15) 2075.80 - 25.30 4/17/15   3:25 PM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Sep 15) 2081.50 - 25.30 4/17/15   3:25 PM CST
  • S&P 500 INDEX (Dec 15) 1970.30 - 25.20 4/17/15   3:25 PM CST
  • DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (Jun 15) 17745.00 - 271.00 4/17/15   3:15 PM CST
  • DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (Sep 15) 17617.00 215.00     CST
  • DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (Dec 15) 17527.00 215.00     CST


Local Cash Bids
North Central PAMill Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
  Chart Nov 30, 15    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Oct 31, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Winter Wheat Chart Aug 31, 15    
Western PA Farm Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
South Central PA Mil Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
  Chart Oct 31, 15    
  Chart Nov 30, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
Eastern OH Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Winter Wheat Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
Fob New Jersey Delivery Cash   Basis    
 #2 Yellow Corn Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
  Chart Oct 31, 15    
  Chart Nov 30, 15    
 #2 Soft Red Wheat Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
 #1 Yellow Soybeans Chart Apr 30, 15    
  Chart May 31, 15    
Price as of 04/18/15 08:09AM CDT.
Click to view more Cash Bid Trading System

CHART OF THE DAY
March 30th, 2015

Continuing Themes:
** World corn carryout seen expanding this year to a multi-year high near 185 mmt.
** Brazil first corn harvest 44% complete, Arg 5%.  Private estimates nearing 100 mmt total SAM corn.
** Market starting to look ahead to 2015 US Weather.  Spring Wet/Cold?  Early summer outlook good?
** Most end-user margins “just okay”.  Export competitiveness suffering.
** Ethanol/Biofuel Markets awaiting EPA verdict on 2014, 2015, and 2016 mandates in Spring 2015.

Overnight  trade  was  extremely  quiet,  finishing  unchanged  in  a  tight  two  cent  range.
Spreading
(May/July 7k contracts, July/Dec 1,300) accounted f or most of the volume.  Other than a sharply higher
start to the week for the US Dollar (trading +0.6% higher), there is little fresh news to start the week.
Trade largely in “hurry up and wait” mode ahead of tomorrow’s big reports:  Quarterly Corn Stocks avg
estimate at 7.61 bil (7.01 bil last year) & corn acres est. at 88.9 mil (91.7 in ’14 Intentions, 90.6 mil in ’14
Final).

USDA  state-by-states  tonight  will  see  if  a  slight  dry-down  in  the  South  resulted  in  any  corn
planting progress.  National Crop Progress reports start one week from today, but the first national corn
planting report likely won’t be seen until mid-April?  Temps remained below average over the weekend,
but a warm-up to more seasonable weather appears to be in store.  On the world scene, Israel is around
for corn/feed wheat (likely Black Sea), and Taiwan’s corn tender due tomorrow.  USDA reported the
private sale of 131,172 mt of current year (14/15) US Corn to "unknown" destinations.  Argentina port
workers going on strike today – likely not a big deal given their “on again, off again” relationship with
the world export markets, but worth a mention on a slow news day.

The corn break stopped right where it needed to - $3.67 CK price count objectives.  The market shot
back to the top end of the range and also stopped right where it should have - $3.95.  Corn will likel y
try and maintain the old range ($3.80-$3.85 to $4.00) ahead of the report.  Week 1 Option prices have
come down substantially, while July (regular & short-dated) offer the best “big picture” coverage.

The  Hogs  &  Pigs  report  Friday  afternoon  found  the  expected  aggressive  expansion  in  the  industry
following the PED scare last year and booming margins through most of 2014.  The Pig Crop was seen up
9% yr/yr.  Deferred farrowing intentions saw only modest gains, though – up 2% yr/yr – as the writing is
on the wall that triple digit hog prices are likely far in the market’s rear-view mirror.  The futures market
still offers some deferred profitability, but (unhedged) spot hog margins are breakeven at best.  While
on the end-user subject, ethanol producers are able to earn 5-10 c/gal (20 c/bu) in the spot, though
unlike hogs, there is minimal to zero ability to hedge positive ethanol margins forward beyond the spot
month.  Feedlot margins depend exclusively on what price the feeders were bought at, while cow/calf
margins remain off the charts.  Dairy is breakeven to a little better?  USDA forced once again to extend
farmer deadlines on crop insurance decision-making to April 7th.

Another back and fill day in the corn market, as traders remain reluctant to take a big stance ahead of
the USDA Acreage/Stocks report on Tuesday.  Corn finished unchanged for the day, and 6 cents higher
for the week.  The market managed to close at a two month high on the weekly chart, which is the only
noteworthy  point  about  last  week’s  trade. Farmer  selling  ground  to  a  halt  late  last  week  after  a
modestly active start, and funds were estimated net even on the day Friday
 

Estimates for US quarterly grain stocks

Wheat (19 analysts surveyed) – Average

estimate 1.140 BB, range of estimates are 1.083

-1.200 BB. December 1st 2014 wheat stocks

were 1.525 BB and March 1st 2014 wheat stocks

were 1.057 BB.

Corn (22 analysts surveyed) – Average estimate

7.609 BB, range of estimates are 7.459 -7.800

BB. December 1st 2014 corn stocks were 11.203

BB and March 1st 2014 corn stocks were 7.008

BB.

Beans (22 analysts surveyed) – Average

estimate 1.346 BB, range of estimates are 1.273

-1.404 BB. December 1st 2014 bean stocks were

2.524 BB and March 1st 2014 bean stocks were

.994 BB

 



 

Local Conditions
Mifflintown, PA
Chg Zip Code: 
Temp: 48oF Feels Like: 48oF
Humid: 89% Dew Pt: 45oF
Barom: 30.05 Wind Dir: N
Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 0 mph
Sunrise: 6:23 Sunset: 7:49
As reported at SELINSGROVE, PA at 8:00 AM
 
Local Radar
Mifflintown, PA
Radar
 
Local Forecast
Mifflintown, PA

Saturday

Sunday

Monday

Tuesday

Wednesday
High: 79°F
Low: 41°F
Precip: 0%
High: 65°F
Low: 39°F
Precip: 40%
High: 64°F
Low: 43°F
Precip: 80%
High: 65°F
Low: 45°F
Precip: 76%
High: 64°F
Low: 38°F
Precip: 30%
View complete Local Weather

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Video Clips
Probably a good opportunity to invoke the wisdom of H.L. Mencke

1. The most dangerous man to any government is the man who is able to think things out for
himself, without regard to the prevailing superstitions and taboos. Almost inevitably he comes
to the conclusion that the government he lives under is dishonest, insane and intolerable,
and so, if he is romantic, he tries to change it
. And even if he is not romantic personally he is
very apt to spread discontent among those who are.

2. The urge to save humanity is almost always only a false-face for the urge to rule it.

3. ….the whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to
be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, most of them imaginary.







Futures
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 376'2 380'6 375'0 379'6 3'4 379'6s 04/17 Chart for @C5K Options for @C5K
Jul 15 383'0 387'4 381'4 386'2 3'4 386'6s 04/17 Chart for @C5N Options for @C5N
Sep 15 390'4 394'6 389'0 393'6 3'2 394'0s 04/17 Chart for @C5U Options for @C5U
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 965'2 972'4 963'0 967'6 2'6 968'6s 04/17 Chart for @S5K Options for @S5K
Jul 15 968'2 975'4 966'2 970'2 2'4 971'4s 04/17 Chart for @S5N Options for @S5N
Aug 15 967'4 973'2 965'2 967'2 1'0 968'0s 04/17 Chart for @S5Q Options for @S5Q
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 494'2 499'6 490'6 493'2 0'0 494'4s 04/17 Chart for @W5K Options for @W5K
Jul 15 490'2 495'0 487'2 488'0 -1'4 489'2s 04/17 Chart for @W5N Options for @W5N
Sep 15 499'4 503'2 496'0 496'2 -1'4 497'6s 04/17 Chart for @W5U Options for @W5U
@SM - SOYBEAN MEAL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 3120 3157 3119 3147 26 3150s 04/17 Chart for @SM5K Options for @SM5K
Jul 15 3120 3155 3119 3143 25 3147s 04/17 Chart for @SM5N Options for @SM5N
Aug 15 3110 3143 3110 3128 20 3132s 04/17 Chart for @SM5Q Options for @SM5Q
@BO - SOYBEAN OIL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 31.74 31.83 31.46 31.47 -0.24 31.52s 04/17 Chart for @BO5K Options for @BO5K
Jul 15 31.95 32.04 31.67 31.67 -0.24 31.73s 04/17 Chart for @BO5N Options for @BO5N
Aug 15 32.05 32.07 31.70 31.70 -0.24 31.76s 04/17 Chart for @BO5Q Options for @BO5Q
O - OATS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 262'0 4'4 262'4s 04/17 Chart for O5K Options for O5K
Jul 15 263'4 5'4 269'0s 04/17 Chart for O5N Options for O5N
Sep 15 275'0 5'4 275'0s 04/17 Chart for O5U Options for O5U
LH - LEAN HOGS - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 70.475 69.250 -0.500 70.525s 04/17 Chart for LH5K Options for LH5K
Jun 15 76.200 76.300 75.825 76.300 -0.100 76.275s 04/17 Chart for LH5M Options for LH5M
Jul 15 77.600 77.600 77.125 77.500 -0.325 77.475s 04/17 Chart for LH5N Options for LH5N
LC - LIVE CATTLE - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Apr 15 160.800 160.825 157.800 157.800 - 3.000 157.800s 04/17 Chart for LC5J Options for LC5J
Jun 15 151.900 152.150 149.000 149.000 - 3.000 149.000s 04/17 Chart for LC5M Options for LC5M
Aug 15 149.700 146.675 149.750 - 3.000 146.675s 04/17 Chart for LC5Q Options for LC5Q
@AC - ETHANOL - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
May 15 1.596 1.617 1.588 1.610 0.025 1.616s 04/17 Chart for @AC5K Options for @AC5K
Jun 15 1.586 1.602 1.569 1.585 0.025 1.594s 04/17 Chart for @AC5M Options for @AC5M
Jul 15 1.545 1.565 1.545 1.559 0.019 1.563s 04/17 Chart for @AC5N Options for @AC5N
@DA - MILK CLASS III - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Apr 15 15.77 15.83 15.77 15.81 0.03 15.80s 04/17 Chart for @DA5J Options for @DA5J
May 15 15.84 16.05 15.75 16.05 0.10 15.99s 04/17 Chart for @DA5K Options for @DA5K
Jun 15 15.76 16.03 15.72 16.00 0.21 16.00s 04/17 Chart for @DA5M Options for @DA5M
@TY - 10 YR US TREASURY NOTE - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jun 15 129'18.5 129'31.0 129'12.5 129'20.5 0'04.0 129'26.0s 04/17 Chart for @TY5M Options for @TY5M
Sep 15 129'10.0 129'18.0 129'01.0 129'10.0 0'04.5 129'14.0s 04/17 Chart for @TY5U Options for @TY5U
Dec 15 127'28.0 0'04.5 128'29.0s 04/17 Chart for @TY5Z Options for @TY5Z
@ZG - Not Authorized - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Apr 15 Chart for @ZG5J Options for @ZG5J
May 15 Chart for @ZG5K Options for @ZG5K
Jun 15 Chart for @ZG5M Options for @ZG5M
SP - S&P 500 INDEX - CME
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jun 15 2082.50 2086.50 2064.70 2075.80 - 25.30 2075.50s 04/17 Chart for SP5M Options for SP5M
Sep 15 2076.25 2057.40 2081.50 - 25.30 2068.10s 04/17 Chart for SP5U Options for SP5U
Dec 15 2069.35 2050.50 1970.30 - 25.20 2061.30s 04/17 Chart for SP5Z Options for SP5Z
DJ - DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jun 15 17870.00 17870.00 17670.00 17745.00 - 271.00 17770.00s 04/17 Chart for DJ5M Options for DJ5M
Sep 15 17617.00 215.00 17617.00s Chart for DJ5U Options for DJ5U
Dec 15 17527.00 215.00 17527.00s Chart for DJ5Z Options for DJ5Z
My Custom Markets
Symbol Open High Low Last Change Close Time More

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Fertilizer
Please give us a call for current and in season
prices for all of your fertilizer needs. We have very
competitive prices on 30% UAN, Starter, MAP,
DAP, AMS, and Potash.  We also offer custom
dry and liquid blends.

(877) 343-4278 or email us @
jon@keystonecommodities.com
 

Disclaimer
An investment in futures contracts involves a high degree of risk and is suitable only for persons who can assume the risk of loss in excess of their margin deposits.  You should carefully consider whether futures trading is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience, trading objectives, financial resources, and other relevant circumstances. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
 

 
 
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